Land Use Modeling Projects

Puget Sound Regional Council (PSRC)

Developing school choice model and methods to integrate DaySim activity-based travel model with UrbanSim.

Lane Council of Governments (LCOG)
Provide technical support to LCOG for the implementation of a zone-level and a parcel level UrbanSim application for Lane County, Oregon.

Maricopa Association of Governments (MAG)

Provide technical assistance in implementing improvements in the UrbanSim platform for the AZ-SMART model system in Arizona. Currently implementing generalizations of demographic and economic transition models.

Durham, North Carolina (DCHCMPO)

UrbanSim Support for Durham Chapel Hill Carborough MPO (DCHCMPO) to develop a zone version of UrbanSim and a parcel version of UrbanSim for the Triangle-Research Park region of North Carolina.

Alamo Area Council of Governments (AACOG)
Provided support in the development of a zone-level version of UrbanSim.  This was the first complete application using the new, simplified zone-level model system.

Honolulu, Hawaii (OahuMPO)
Oahu Metropolitan Planning Organization (OahuMPO); Honolulu, Hawaii
Provided technical assistance to the staff at OMPO and the City of Honolulu, and to their consultants for the estimation, calibration, and implementation of UrbanSim to the City and County of Honolulu.

Detroit Metropolitan Area, Michigan (SEMCOG)
Southeast Michigan Council of Governments (SEMCOG); Detroit, Michigan
Provided technical assistance to the staff at SEMCOG for the estimation, calibration, and implementation of UrbanSim for SEMCOG’s multi-county study area.

Salt Lake City, Utah (WFRC)
Governor’s Office, State of Utah; Salt Lake City, Utah
Provided technical assistance for the estimation, calibration, and implementation of UrbanSim to the Greater Wasach Front area representing the planning areas of the Wasatch Front Regional Council and the Mountainlands Association of Governments.

San Francisco, California (SFCTA)
San Francisco County Transportation Authority (SFCTA) and San Francisco City Planning Department
Providing technical assistance for the estimation, calibration, and implementation of UrbanSim at a parcel level to the City and County of San Francisco, and integration with SF-CHAMP, an activity-based travel model system.

In addition to these projects, Paul Waddell has led other projects to support the application of UrbanSim in Houston, Texas and in Seattle, Washington through the Center for Urban Simulation and Policy Analysis at the University of Washington and the University of California, Berkeley.

Transportation Modeling Projects

Advance Travel Demand Modeling Study 
Association of Metropolitan Planning Organizations (AMPO)
Participated in a research initiative supported and funded by interested MPOs to develop a thorough assessment of how well tour- and activity-based models have performed in actual practice in a number of metropolitan areas. The project assessed the performance of these advanced travel models, as well as concerns regarding the costs of model development, implementation, and the assembly of the data used for calibration and validation purposes. 

Regional Value Pricing Feasibility Study
North Central Texas Council of Governments; Arlington, Texas
Compiled an inventory of current practice of demand estimation procedures for value pricing projects in the U.S.  After a comparison of the various aspects of the existing modeling procedures, short term and long term strategies were recommended given NCTCOG’s current state of travel demand model.  Findings were presented at the meeting of AMPO’s travel modeling work group in Las Vegas. 

Documentation, Support, and Enhancement of Puget Sound Regional Travel Demand Model
Puget Sound Regional Council (PSRC); Seattle, Washington
The focus of this project was the documentation and validation of the existing travel demand model, as well as preparation of conceptual design for the next generation of travel demand and land use models in the Puget Sound region.  Lead role with respect to the documentation and validation of two sets of Mode Choice models.  PSRC’s 1999 household travel survey and 1999 transportation panel survey were used in the model validation process.

Travel Demand Model Improvement
Puget Sound Regional Council (PSRC): Seattle, Washington
This project was a descendant of the above-mentioned work for PSRC.  It entailed enhancement and calibration of various components of the Regional Council’s four-step model as identified and documented in the preceding project.   Lead role with respect to the revision and calibration of the mode choice model based on observed travel patterns from the 1999 household travel survey.  PSRC’s travel demand model is implemented using EMME/2 application software package.

Travel Demand Forecasting Model Development; Houston-Galveston Area Council; Houston, Texas
Urban Analytics lead the development of the Trip Generation model, as well as the estimation and calibration of the auto ownership, workers per household, and children per household logit submodels.

Travel Demand Model Improvement Program; Southern California Association of Government (SCAG); Los Angeles, California
Lead consultant for the estimation, validation, and calibration of the Mode Choice model using local data obtained from the regional household and on-board transit surveys in SCAG’s six-county region.  

Land Use Model Development: UrbanSim Pilot Project; Southeast Michigan Council of Government (SEMCOG); Detroit, Michigan
Providing technical assistance to the staff at SEMCOG for the estimation, calibration, and implementation of UrbanSim to a sub-region of SEMCOG’s study area. Results of the pilot project will determine the potential of UrbanSim’s full-scale implementation to the seven-county region in Southeast Michigan.

Development of an Inter-Regional Transportation Model
Wasatch Front Regional Council (WFRC); Mountainland Association of Governments;
Salt Lake City Region, Utah
The project entailed the development and calibration of a single inter-regional travel demand model replacing three separate models for the Salt Lake City, Ogden, and Provo-Orem areas, and inclusion of the non-motorized modes. The revised model was implemented using the TP+/Viper software platform.  Lead role in the development of the nested logit mode choice model.

Oceanside-Escondido Rail Project Ridership Validation Study
North San Diego County Transit Development Board; Oceanside, California
Evaluated the reasonability and validity of the of ridership projections for the Oceanside-Escondido rail project, including a review of the San Diego area’s travel demand forecasting model, its application in the rail project under study, and comparison to the state-of-the-art and state-of-the practice in travel demand modeling in the country. 

Regional Mode Choice Study
Maricopa Association of Governments; Phoenix, Arizona
Assisted with the validation of a revised regional mode choice model for the Maricopa Association of Governments.  The revised nested logit model is a substitute for the previous multinomial model.  The former has the ability of more accurately capturing the complexities of the modal choice behavior.

Procedures and Technical Methods for Transit Project Planning; Federal Transit Administration (FTA)
Provided assistance to the Center for Urban Transportation Research, University of South Florida, in preparing FTA guidelines for long-range transit operations and project planning by drafting the technical guidelines for the evaluation and refinement of transit long range operating plans.

Review of Travel Demand and Land-Use Forecasting Models
Metropolitan Washington Council of Governments; Washington, D.C.
Provided assistance reviewing the existing land-use and travel demand forecasting models and methodologies in use by MWCOG, as well as those used in other major metropolitan areas.  The project resulted in recommendations on model upgrades and compliance with the Intermodal Surface Transportation Efficiency Act (ISTEA) of 1991, and the Clean Air Act Amendments (CAAA) of 1990.

Review of Transit Network Coding and Editing Procedures
North Central Texas Council of Governments; Texas
Reviewed state-of-the-practice in network coding and editing procedures among major transit agencies, metropolitan planning organizations, and private consulting firms who currently employ automatic network editing techniques.  Recommendations regarding improvements to NCTCOG's current network coding procedures were included as part of the project's findings.

Evaluation of Travel Survey Needs 
North Central Texas Council of Governments; 
Arlington, Texas
Participated in a study in determining the need and general format for a new round of travel surveys.  The project addressed issues such as activity-based household surveys; revealed preference, stated preference, and panel surveys. 

Mobility Impaired Ridership Projections
Fort Worth Transportation Authority; Fort Worth, Texas
Developed short-term projections of the mobility impaired population by age group for all the municipalities of Tarrant County; ridership projections for the Mobility Impaired Transportation Service (MITS) operated by FWTA; and development of MITS unmet demand projections for cities outside of its service area.  Work was done in conjunction with a survey of the mobility impaired residents in Tarrant County.

Transportation Planning Projects

NE-SW Corridor Alternatives Analysis, and PE/EIS
Fort Worth Transportation Authority; Texas
Urban Analytics has been providing modeling and ridership forecasting support for the Alternatives Analysis and the PE/EIS phases of this project for this fast-growth corridor of Fort Worth metropolitan area.

Denton County Transit System Plan Developm
ent; Texas
Lead role in transit patronage forecasting support for the short- and long-term transit system plan for Denton County, Texas.

DeSoto Transit Needs Assessment Study; Desoto, Texas
Assisted in the analysis of existing and predicted travel patterns, and demographics profile of the city.  Participated in the design and analysis of a citizens survey, investigating the need and desire for various types of transit alternatives for the residents of DeSoto, Texas.

Transit Needs Assessment; Alternatives Analysis, EIS/PE;

Denton County Transportation Authority; Denton, Texas
Urban Analytics has provided modeling and ridership forecasting support over a number of years in what originally started as a transit needs assessment study for Denton County Transportation Authority, and subsequently led to the undertaking of an Alternatives Analysis project in the Denton-Dallas corridor.  The locally preferred regional rail alternative was then advanced to the PE/EIS phase for which Urban Analytics continued to provide ridership modeling and forecasting support.

Regional Rail Corridor Study
North Central Texas Council of Governments; 
Arlington, Texas
Urban Analytics provided ridership forecasting support as part of a project assessing the feasibility of regional rail in ten distinct study corridors in the Dallas-Fort Worth area.

Major Investment Study and PE/EIS: Southeast Corridor
Dallas Area Rapid Transit; Dallas, Texas
Lead role in travel demand modeling and forecasting for the Southeast Corridor MIS.  Issues such as the impact of special events on rail ridership, and micro-level station planning were also addressed as part of this study.

Major Investment Study: Northwest Corridor
Dallas Area Rapid Transit; Dallas, Texas
Provided assistance in travel demand modeling and forecasting and project evaluation related to a large number of modal and alignment issues in Dallas’ Northwest Corridor major investment study.
Major Investment Study: Northeast Corridor
Dallas Area Rapid Transit; Dallas, Texas
Provided assistance in the areas of planning, project evaluation, and travel demand modeling and forecasting for the Northeast Corridor MIS.

Major Investment Study; North Central Corridor
Dallas Area Rapid Transit; Dallas, Texas 
Provided travel demand modeling support by adjusting the model to meet FTA's requirements, and ridership forecasting support for use in the evaluation and comparison of alternatives.

Major Investment Study: Downtown Tempe/Rio Salado 
City of Tempe, Arizona
Lead role in the preparation of ridership forecasts and evaluation criteria for a circulator system designed to serve downtown Tempe, the future Rio Salado development adjacent to downtown, and the student population of the Arizona State University.  

Alternatives Analysis: Northwest/ N. Central Corridor
Capital Metropolitan Transportation Authority; 
Austin, Texas
Provided modeling and patronage forecasting support, using TRANPLAN, for the No-Build, TSM, and light rail alternatives in Austin's Northwest/ North Central Corridor. 

Northwest Corridor Commuter Rail Demonstration Project
Dallas Area Rapid Transit, Dallas, Texas
Provided evaluation of the performance of several rail alignments in the Northwest Corridor to identify the potential for a commuter rail demonstration project connecting Dallas' northwest suburbs to the Central Business District using a combination of sketch planning techniques and model-generated forecasts.
Congestion Management and Conformity Analysis
Maryland Department of Transportation, Office of Systems Planning and Evaluation; Baltimore, Maryland
Lead consultant in travel demand modeling, patronage forecasting, and project evaluation assistance for this planning project mandated by the Intermodal Surface Transportation Efficiency Act (ISTEA) of 1991.  The forecasting models of the Metropolitan Washington Council of Governments (MWCOG) and Baltimore Metropolitan Council (BMC), both using the MINUTP forecasting platform, were used in this analysis. 

Transit Needs Assessment; 
Lewisville, Texas
The purpose of this project was to develop a transit plan for the City of Lewisville addressing all potential ridership markets, both within the city and external to it.  After the assessment of the study area’s transit needs, a variety of service delivery alternatives were identified and evaluated as part of this project.  Lead role in demographics, land use, and travel pattern analysis, as well as estimation of potential short term and long term ridership for all feasible alternatives.

Long Range Transit Planning
Wasatch Front Regional Council; Salt Lake City, Utah
Provided assistance in the development and evaluation of transit system alternatives, Major Investment Study corridor identification, project evaluation, and travel demand modeling and forecasting support for the project.